Getafe 1-0 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
12%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.21
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
10%
6.91
X/2
18%
4.54
X/X
8%
4.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.89
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.10
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +109%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
20.8 Crosses 19.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Girona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
188 Passes 405
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Girona Girona 3-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
04.03.2023 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 3-0 Girona Girona İS1
22.08.2022 Girona Girona 3-1 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
05.05.2019 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
21.12.2018 Girona Girona 1-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
29.04.2018 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-0
AWAY Girona
1.25 xG 1.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
245 Passes 387
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe nicked a narrow win over Girona 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Getafe had 41% of the ball to Girona's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.81 — on chances, Girona could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Getafe and 1.67 for Girona.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Girona?

Getafe 1-0 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Getafe 31%, draw 23%, Girona 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5
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