Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.01
1/2
9%
19.95
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
9.75
X/2
15%
4.42
X/X
6%
6.04
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
30%
2.09
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 9.75 — our 15% vs market 7.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.5pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 60%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.02/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.28
+25% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -24%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
20.4 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barcelona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 2.13
28% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
178 Passes 612
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
27.03.2025 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 2-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.09.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 4-2 HT 2-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
31.01.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
11.01.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSSK
03.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-2
AWAY Barcelona
0.80 xG 1.29
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
189 Passes 593
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona nicked a narrow win over Osasuna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna had 30% of the ball to Barcelona's 70%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osasuna and 2.00 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Barcelona?

Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 28%, draw 18%, Barcelona 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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