Barcelona 3-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Mar 2025

Barcelona
3-0 HT 2-0
Osasuna
📅27/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.84
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
28%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
4.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.37
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
23.3
X/1
19%
4.02
X/2
5%
23.75
X/X
8%
10.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
2/2
6%
19.25
2/X
6%
27.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-11.8pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.8pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
2.33/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.84
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
545 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.5 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Barcelona vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Osasuna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.04
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
551 Passes 210
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 4-2 HT 2-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
31.01.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
11.01.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSSK
03.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
02.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
08.11.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1

Barcelona 3-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
3-0
AWAY Osasuna
3.72 xG 0.38
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
678 Passes 180
90% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona swept aside Osasuna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 74% of the ball to Osasuna's 26%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 3.72 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barcelona and 1.00 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Osasuna?

Barcelona 3-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 65%, draw 20%, Osasuna 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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