Jaro 2-2 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.0
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
14%
4.96
X/2
13%
6.63
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
6%
24.8
2/2
15%
4.69
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.85/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.50
+23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-0 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
02.06.2024 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.04.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-2 Jaro Jaro FİN2
03.02.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINYK
14.07.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
07.05.2023 Jaro Jaro 3-3 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-2
AWAY TPS Turku
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 278
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
FAQ Jaro vs TPS Turku
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jaro and TPS Turku shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 2 May 2026. Half-time: 1-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jaro had 56% of the ball to TPS Turku's 44%, shots finished 9-13.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 1.83 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Jaro vs TPS Turku?

Jaro 2-2 TPS Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jaro 40%, draw 27%, TPS Turku 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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