IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Mariehamn v VPS — Team-Based Signals
IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
VPS
FİN
IFK Mariehamn 0-1 VPS — Actual Match Statistics
VPS edged past IFK Mariehamn 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 62% of the ball to VPS's 38%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 0.69 to 3.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold VPS's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.83 for VPS.
What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs VPS?
IFK Mariehamn 0-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs VPS?
Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 32%, draw 22%, VPS 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.