IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Mariehamn v VPS — Team-Based Signals
IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
VPS
FİN
2-1
HT 1-0
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
IFK Mariehamn 2-1 VPS — Actual Match Statistics
IFK Mariehamn squeezed past VPS 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was VPS at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 45% of the ball to VPS's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.19 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 2.00 for VPS.
What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs VPS?
IFK Mariehamn 2-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs VPS?
Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 28%, draw 26%, VPS 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.