Oulu 2-0 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.22
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
6.15
X/2
15%
5.24
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.29
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.02
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
15.9 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 530
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.04.2026 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
04.07.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-2 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
12.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
22.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
28.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-0
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.49 xG 0.56
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 9
127 Passes 392
56% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu beat KuPS Kuopio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Oulu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Oulu had 32% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 68%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oulu and 2.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?

Oulu 2-0 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oulu 35%, draw 26%, KuPS Kuopio 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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