KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:23 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.78
6+ Goals
12%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.78 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.02
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
12%
3.94
X/2
9%
10.85
X/X
9%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.2
2/2
10%
9.33
2/X
8%
18.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.75/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.97
-10% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.3 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Oulu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
480 Passes 330
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
28.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
09.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-0
AWAY Oulu
1.15 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
526 Passes 354
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio squeezed past Oulu 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 58% of the ball to Oulu's 42%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.15 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 54%, draw 23%, Oulu 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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