Inter Turku 3-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Apr 2025

Inter Turku
3-0 HT 1-0
Gnistan
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Inter Turku vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
23%
4.49
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
2/2
12%
6.78
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Turku v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.3 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3

Inter Turku vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gnistan
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.60 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
407 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
19.10.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
22.07.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
06.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
07.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FLK

Inter Turku 3-0 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-0
AWAY Gnistan
2.16 xG 0.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
331 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
48 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku ran out comfortable winners over Gnistan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 48% of the ball to Gnistan's 52%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 2.16 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Inter Turku and 1.60 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Inter Turku 3-0 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 51%, draw 23%, Gnistan 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
12 Apr 2025
14:30 Ilves Tampere vs Jaro Analysis →
15:00 Haka vs IFK Mariehamn Analysis →
19:23 KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu Analysis →