Ilves Tampere 2-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
8.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.66
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.8
X/1
14%
3.97
X/2
7%
15.3
X/X
8%
6.89
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
9%
12.75
2/X
6%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.31/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.06
+14% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
547 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Jaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
16.08.2015 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
16.06.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.04.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-1
AWAY Jaro
0.88 xG 1.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
603 Passes 349
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere edged past Jaro 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 61% of the ball to Jaro's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.88 to 1.58 — on chances, Jaro could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.50 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Ilves Tampere 2-1 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 60%, draw 21%, Jaro 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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