Haka 0-1 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.47
X/2
10%
8.49
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.75
2/2
13%
6.59
2/X
8%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.70/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.44
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.8 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.92 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
07.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
07.06.2024 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
22.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
13.05.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
0-1
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
0.93 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
387 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haka vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn nicked a narrow win over Haka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haka had 64% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.93 to 0.45 — on chances, Haka could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Haka and 0.83 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Haka vs IFK Mariehamn?

Haka 0-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Haka 45%, draw 26%, IFK Mariehamn 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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