KuPS Kuopio 3-2 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.62
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.56
X/2
13%
7.99
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
8%
22.65
2/2
11%
5.87
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.43/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.58
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
22.1 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Oulu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
532 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-2 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
12.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
22.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
28.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-2
AWAY Oulu
1.03 xG 2.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
522 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio squeezed past Oulu 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 60% of the ball to Oulu's 40%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.03 to 2.28 — on chances, Oulu could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for Oulu.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

KuPS Kuopio 3-2 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 47%, draw 22%, Oulu 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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