Oulu 2-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Jul 2025

Oulu
2-2 HT 1-0
KuPS Kuopio
📅04/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
51%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.95
1/2
8%
24.65
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
10%
7.0
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
5.02
X/X
9%
4.94
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.96
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · X/2 at 5.02 — our 23% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
51%
Away Win
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oulu v KuPS Kuopio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.92
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
15.7 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.81 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 516
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
22.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
28.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN

Oulu 2-2 KuPS Kuopio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.20 xG 0.49
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
239 Passes 524
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oulu had 34% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 66%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.20 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oulu and 1.83 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?

Oulu 2-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Oulu 27%, draw 22%, KuPS Kuopio 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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