TPS Turku 0-2 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Apr 2024

TPS Turku
0-2 HT 0-2
Jaro
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

TPS Turku vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
26%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
37%
+14.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TPS Turku v Jaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
2.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.49
+72% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

TPS Turku vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jaro
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.02.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINYK
14.07.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
07.05.2023 Jaro Jaro 3-3 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
17.10.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FINY1
24.09.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINY
30.07.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro saw off TPS Turku 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for TPS Turku and 1.33 for Jaro.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Jaro?

TPS Turku 0-2 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 51%, draw 22%, Jaro 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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