Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.38/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.07
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Villefranche
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2025 Villefranche Villefranche 0-1 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
02.05.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
10.01.2025 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
03.03.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
23.09.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 3-2 HT 1-2 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
13.05.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 4-1 HT 3-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1-0
AWAY Villefranche
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 squeezed past Villefranche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bourg en Bresse 01 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bourg en Bresse 01 had 39% of the ball to Villefranche's 61%, shots finished 20-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.50 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Villefranche?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 50%, draw 27%, Villefranche 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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