Sochaux 1-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.37/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.34
-17% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
456 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.12.2025 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-3 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
14.03.2025 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
18.10.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
31.01.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 4-0 HT 2-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
01.10.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
07.05.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
1-1
AWAY Valenciennes
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Valenciennes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sochaux at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sochaux had 54% of the ball to Valenciennes's 46%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sochaux and 0.67 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Valenciennes?

Sochaux 1-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 54%, draw 25%, Valenciennes 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ BTTS Yes
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