Valenciennes 1-0 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
14%
4.52
X/2
9%
6.66
X/X
18%
3.85
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
13%
5.56
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.66/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.27
+18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sochaux
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
271 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
31.01.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 4-0 HT 2-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
01.10.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
07.05.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
21.12.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
15.02.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
1-0
AWAY Sochaux
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes edged past Sochaux 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Valenciennes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valenciennes had 49% of the ball to Sochaux's 51%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valenciennes and 1.67 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Sochaux?

Valenciennes 1-0 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 39%, draw 32%, Sochaux 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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