Nancy 4-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
20%
4.02
X/2
6%
9.72
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
8.41
2/X
8%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.48/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.44
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Quevilly
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.21 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
22.04.2022 Nancy Nancy 0-3 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
03.12.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
09.02.2018 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
15.09.2017 Quevilly Quevilly 2-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
4-1
AWAY Quevilly
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy swept aside Quevilly 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nancy had 52% of the ball to Quevilly's 48%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Quevilly led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Nancy and 1.80 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Quevilly?

Nancy 4-1 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nancy 52%, draw 24%, Quevilly 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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