Concarneau 4-2 Versailles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.5
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
13%
6.1
X/2
9%
5.15
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.47
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Versailles EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.98/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.33
-15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Versailles
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2024 Versailles Versailles 1-2 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
27.02.2023 Versailles Versailles 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
19.09.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 4-1 HT 2-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
4-2
AWAY Versailles
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Versailles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau saw off Versailles 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Concarneau found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Concarneau had 52% of the ball to Versailles's 48%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Concarneau had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Concarneau and 0.67 for Versailles.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Versailles?

Concarneau 4-2 Versailles in the France - National League 1 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Versailles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 37%, draw 29%, Versailles 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
14 Mar 2025
21:30 Rouen vs Villefranche Analysis →
21:30 Nancy vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Le Mans FC vs Chateauroux Analysis →
21:30 Nimes vs Dijon Analysis →
21:30 Aubagne vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Analysis →
21:30 Valenciennes vs Sochaux Analysis →