Rouen 2-4 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2
13%
8.01
X/X
14%
4.04
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
10%
6.93
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.54/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.12
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 1-1 Rouen Rouen FR3
12.04.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
12.03.2024 Rouen Rouen 1-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
10.11.2023 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche beat Rouen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rouen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rouen and 1.00 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Villefranche?

Rouen 2-4 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rouen 45%, draw 26%, Villefranche 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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