Villefranche 2-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.46
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.9
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.23
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Rouen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
12.03.2024 Rouen Rouen 1-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
10.11.2023 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
2-1
AWAY Rouen
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche edged past Rouen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Villefranche made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Villefranche had 46% of the ball to Rouen's 54%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rouen led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Rouen?

Villefranche 2-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 38%, draw 25%, Rouen 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villefranche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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