Chateauroux 1-2 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Oct 2024

Chateauroux
1-2 HT 1-0
Le Mans FC
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.25
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
9%
5.72
X/2
13%
5.15
X/X
17%
3.92
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.66
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +25%
1.23/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.08
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-2 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
13.11.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
14.04.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
28.11.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-3 HT 0-2 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
21.01.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
23.08.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3

Chateauroux 1-2 Le Mans FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
1-2
AWAY Le Mans FC
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC edged past Chateauroux 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Le Mans FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chateauroux had 38% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 62%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chateauroux and 1.50 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC?

Chateauroux 1-2 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 31%, draw 29%, Le Mans FC 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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