Sochaux 2-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Oct 2024

Sochaux
2-0 HT 1-0
Valenciennes
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Sochaux vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
10%
4.36
X/2
13%
7.13
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
5.63
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sochaux v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.52/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.52
+6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3

Sochaux vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.01.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 4-0 HT 2-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
01.10.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
07.05.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
21.12.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
15.02.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
17.10.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux beat Valenciennes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sochaux found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sochaux and 0.67 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Valenciennes?

Sochaux 2-0 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 39%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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