Quevilly 0-1 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 37% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.02
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.64
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
15%
4.35
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
17%
3.59
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.0pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.12/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.01
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Nancy
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2022 Nancy Nancy 0-3 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
03.12.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
09.02.2018 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
15.09.2017 Quevilly Quevilly 2-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Quevilly 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Nancy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Quevilly had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Quevilly and 0.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Nancy?

Quevilly 0-1 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 30%, draw 30%, Nancy 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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