Boulogne 3-0 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.57
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
11%
5.91
X/2
18%
4.85
X/X
13%
3.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.47
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.19/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.96
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Orleans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2022 Orleans Orleans 2-1 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
20.08.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 1-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
03.04.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 2-2 HT 1-2 Orleans Orleans FR3
24.11.2020 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
3-0
AWAY Orleans
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne cruised past Orleans 3-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Boulogne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boulogne had 42% of the ball to Orleans's 58%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boulogne and 1.50 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Orleans?

Boulogne 3-0 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 32%, draw 30%, Orleans 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Orleans), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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