Chateauroux 1-2 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2024

Chateauroux
1-2 HT 1-1
Le Mans FC
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.16
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.57
X/2
12%
6.37
X/X
16%
4.02
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
5.02
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.01/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
-31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
285 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
14.04.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
28.11.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-3 HT 0-2 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
21.01.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
23.08.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
29.11.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC nicked a narrow win over Chateauroux 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Le Mans FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.33 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC?

Chateauroux 1-2 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 35%, draw 29%, Le Mans FC 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
12 Apr 2024
18:45 Niort vs Monts dOr Azergues Analysis →
20:30 Nimes vs Versailles Analysis →
20:30 Marignane GCB vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
20:30 Avranches vs Epinal Analysis →
20:30 Villefranche vs Rouen Analysis →
20:30 Cholet vs Sochaux Analysis →