Avranches 0-2 Epinal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2024

Avranches
0-2 HT 0-1
Epinal
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Avranches vs Epinal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 34% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.09
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
11%
6.47
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.52
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avranches v Epinal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avranches EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Epinal EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.01/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+41% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Avranches vs Epinal Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avranches
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Epinal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Epinal Epinal 4-0 HT 2-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
05.09.2015 Epinal Epinal 1-3 HT 0-2 Avranches Avranches FR3

Avranches 0-2 Epinal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avranches
0-2
AWAY Epinal
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avranches vs Epinal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Epinal beat Avranches 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Epinal found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avranches had 55% of the ball to Epinal's 45%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avranches and 2.50 for Epinal.

What was the final score of Avranches vs Epinal?

Avranches 0-2 Epinal in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avranches vs Epinal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avranches win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avranches 40%, draw 28%, Epinal 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avranches) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avranches) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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