Cholet 1-0 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
7%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
9%
6.21
X/2
10%
4.88
X/X
16%
4.48
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.2
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.7pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cholet EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.47
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cholet
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sochaux
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.11.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cholet
1-0
AWAY Sochaux
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cholet vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cholet nicked a narrow win over Sochaux 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cholet found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cholet had 51% of the ball to Sochaux's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Cholet vs Sochaux?

Cholet 1-0 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cholet vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cholet 32%, draw 33%, Sochaux 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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