Niort 2-0 Monts dOr Azergues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
14%
6.97
X/X
13%
4.45
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
8%
5.49
2/X
5%
14.8
Value flag · 1/X at 14.35 — our 9% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niort EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Monts dOr Azergues EU Bookmakers 30%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.59/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
+11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niort
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Monts dOr Azergues
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2023 Monts dOr Azergues Monts dOr Azergues 2-3 HT 2-0 Niort Niort FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niort
2-0
AWAY Monts dOr Azergues
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niort vs Monts dOr Azergues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort beat Monts dOr Azergues 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Niort as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Niort had 58% of the ball to Monts dOr Azergues's 42%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Niort vs Monts dOr Azergues?

Niort 2-0 Monts dOr Azergues in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niort vs Monts dOr Azergues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niort win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Niort 45%, draw 27%, Monts dOr Azergues 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niort), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niort) ✓ Under 2.5
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