Marignane GCB 0-2 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.04
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
8%
7.85
X/2
15%
4.23
X/X
14%
4.67
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.55
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 54%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.04/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.89
-12% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
223 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marignane GCB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2023 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-1 HT 1-1 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marignane GCB
0-2
AWAY Red Star FC 93
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Marignane GCB vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 beat Marignane GCB 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marignane GCB had 41% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 59%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Red Star FC 93?

Marignane GCB 0-2 Red Star FC 93 in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated an Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 27%, draw 28%, Red Star FC 93 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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