Villefranche 1-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.02
6+ Goals
6%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.79
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.06
X/2
12%
5.5
X/X
11%
3.77
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.26
2/X
8%
14.15
Value flag · 2/2 at 4.26 — our 24% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.31/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.86
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rouen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2024 Rouen Rouen 1-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
10.11.2023 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-1
AWAY Rouen
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Rouen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Villefranche had 43% of the ball to Rouen's 57%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rouen led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Rouen?

Villefranche 1-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 34%, draw 26%, Rouen 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rouen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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