Versailles 1-2 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.67
X/2
13%
6.29
X/X
9%
4.09
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
17%
4.85
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.13/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.54
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Concarneau
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2023 Versailles Versailles 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
19.09.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 4-1 HT 2-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Versailles
1-2
AWAY Concarneau
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau nicked a narrow win over Versailles 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Concarneau found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Versailles had 49% of the ball to Concarneau's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Concarneau led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Versailles and 2.50 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Concarneau?

Versailles 1-2 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Versailles 35%, draw 28%, Concarneau 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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