Almere City 3-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.97
2-3 Goals
38%
2.18
4-5 Goals
26%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
4.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.75
X/2
13%
9.75
X/X
9%
7.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
17.45
2/2
7%
6.16
2/X
5%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.45 — our 9% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.94/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.0 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.19 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2026 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
06.04.2026 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
21.11.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 5-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
12.05.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
26.08.2022 Almere City Almere City 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
18.03.2022 Almere City Almere City 2-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
3-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.75 xG 0.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
276 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City swept aside Den Bosch 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Almere City had 48% of the ball to Den Bosch's 52%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Almere City and 1.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Den Bosch?

Almere City 3-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Almere City 53%, draw 20%, Den Bosch 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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