NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 May 2026

NEC Nijmegen
1-1 HT 0-1
Telstar
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.53
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.1
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
30%
2.45
6+ Goals
15%
5.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
16%
4.39
X/2
6%
11.1
X/X
7%
7.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
17.95
2/2
7%
7.56
2/X
5%
16.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.95 — our 11% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+4.4pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.5pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC Nijmegen v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.05/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.71
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
23.3 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Telstar
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.46 xG 1.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 1-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
05.04.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
03.01.2021 Telstar Telstar 5-2 HT 3-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
07.02.2020 Telstar Telstar 1-7 HT 1-4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
30.08.2019 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-2 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
18.01.2019 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2

NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1-1
AWAY Telstar
2.30 xG 1.57
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
457 Passes 159
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
52 Box Touches 20
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen and Telstar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had NEC Nijmegen at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 69% of the ball to Telstar's 31%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.30 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 2.00 for Telstar.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?

NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 65%, draw 16%, Telstar 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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