Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 1-2
Ajax
HOL
1-1
HT 1-0
PSV Eindhoven
HOK
Ajax 2-2 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax and PSV Eindhoven couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (68%) came in.
On the day, Ajax had 49% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 51%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.88 to 2.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajax and 1.83 for PSV Eindhoven.
What was the final score of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ajax 2-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ajax 39%, draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.