Utrecht 2-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.41
X/2
11%
9.15
X/X
7%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.85
2/2
8%
6.72
2/X
8%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.79
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.0 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
4W-1D-1L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.10 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
01.03.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
24.08.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
14.12.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-2 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOK
16.03.2019 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-4 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
05.10.2018 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
2-0
AWAY NAC Breda
3.55 xG 0.48
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
446 Passes 181
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht beat NAC Breda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Utrecht had 66% of the ball to NAC Breda's 34%, shots finished 28-9, expected goals 3.55 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Utrecht and 1.00 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs NAC Breda?

Utrecht 2-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 51%, draw 24%, NAC Breda 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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