NAC Breda 1-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Dec 2025

NAC Breda
1-1 HT 1-1
Utrecht
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

NAC Breda vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.76
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
11%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.71
X/2
12%
5.85
X/X
18%
4.61
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
3.92
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NAC Breda v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.40
-11% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.1 Crosses 20.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

NAC Breda vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Utrecht
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 2.24
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
24.08.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
14.12.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-2 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOK
16.03.2019 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-4 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
05.10.2018 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
23.12.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

NAC Breda 1-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1-1
AWAY Utrecht
1.43 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
464 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda and Utrecht shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, NAC Breda had 56% of the ball to Utrecht's 44%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.43 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NAC Breda and 2.00 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Utrecht?

NAC Breda 1-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 32%, draw 36%, Utrecht 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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