Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.75
1/2
7%
21.8
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
14%
7.29
X/2
11%
5.16
X/X
7%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
2/2
31%
2.79
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.27/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.97
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
12.6 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.12 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
355 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Ajax Ajax 2-1 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
30.10.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-2 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
07.04.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 6-0 HT 3-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
27.09.2023 Ajax Ajax 0-4 HT 0-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.04.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajax Ajax HOK
19.03.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-3 HT 2-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
2-0
AWAY Feyenoord
1.27 xG 1.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 12
336 Passes 446
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax saw off Feyenoord 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Feyenoord at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax had 42% of the ball to Feyenoord's 58%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.27 to 1.91 — on chances, Feyenoord could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajax and 2.50 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Feyenoord?

Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ajax 32%, draw 19%, Feyenoord 49%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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