Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.09
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
8%
6.6
X/2
17%
5.58
X/X
13%
5.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
19%
3.16
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.6pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.53
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.6 Crosses 19.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 Passes 400
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
26.10.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
19.05.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
27.08.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.04.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
05.08.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-3
AWAY Heerenveen
0.61 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
335 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 53% of the ball to Heerenveen's 47%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.61 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 33%, draw 25%, Heerenveen 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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