Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.46
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.68
X/2
11%
8.44
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.45/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.28
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.2 Crosses 15.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
19.05.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
27.08.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.04.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
05.08.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.04.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
AWAY Heerenveen
2.75 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
289 Passes 417
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam saw off Heerenveen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 42% of the ball to Heerenveen's 58%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.75 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 48%, draw 24%, Heerenveen 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
12 Apr 2025
17:30 Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Analysis →
21:00 PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City Analysis →
22:00 NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →