PSV Eindhoven 5-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
9.59
2-3 Goals
35%
2.54
4-5 Goals
31%
2.31
6+ Goals
14%
3.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.2
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
32.0
X/1
20%
4.19
X/2
5%
35.0
X/X
6%
14.75
2/1
8%
21.3
2/2
8%
33.5
2/X
4%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.79/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.78
+22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
43.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
25.6 Crosses 15.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Almere City
5.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.51 xG 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
456 Passes 169
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
40 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Almere City Almere City 1-7 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
23.09.2023 Almere City Almere City 0-4 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
29.10.2014 Almere City Almere City 1-5 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5-0
AWAY Almere City
5.48 xG 0.75
72% Ball Possession 28%
34 Total Shots 8
17 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
584 Passes 188
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
76 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven cruised past Almere City 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 72% of the ball to Almere City's 28%, shots finished 34-8, expected goals 5.48 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.67 for Almere City.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City?

PSV Eindhoven 5-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 65%, draw 18%, Almere City 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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