Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
10.05
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
18.85
X/1
10%
12.05
X/2
18%
3.97
X/X
8%
5.96
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
24%
1.89
2/X
5%
16.6
Value flag · 1/X at 18.85 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-12.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 66%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.07/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.01
-41% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
17.1 Crosses 21.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 2.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
215 Passes 432
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
14.04.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
13.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
26.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-4 HT 0-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
22.10.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
01.05.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-2
AWAY Feyenoord
0.36 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
274 Passes 303
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord got the better of Fortuna Sittard 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 49% of the ball to Feyenoord's 51%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.36 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.67 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord?

Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 26%, draw 25%, Feyenoord 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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