Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.80/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.83
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
443 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
16.7 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-0D-0L
AWAY JEF United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
3.33 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
339 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2026 JEF United JEF United 0-2 HT 0-2 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
03.10.2009 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP
25.04.2009 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-0
AWAY JEF United
0.55 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
395 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds got the better of JEF United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 55% of the ball to JEF United's 45%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.33 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 58%, draw 23%, JEF United 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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