Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 May 2026

Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1 HT 1-1
Mito HollyHock
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito HollyHock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.65
+29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.3 Crosses 9.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.35 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 7
165 Passes 423
59% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.03.2026 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Mito HollyHock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.88 xG 1.97
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
184 Passes 375
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Mito HollyHock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 36% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 64%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.88 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.50 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 43%, draw 28%, Mito HollyHock 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
2 May 2026
06:55 Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
08:00 FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
09:00 Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
10:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Analysis →