Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.07
6+ Goals
11%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.61/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.14
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.0 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
247 Passes 243
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2026 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
10.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
27.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
22.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-2
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.10 xG 0.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
170 Passes 260
62% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse squeezed past Kyoto Sanga 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kyoto Sanga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 44% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 56%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.10 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.83 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 46%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ BTTS Yes
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