Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
4%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.9
X/2
14%
6.55
X/X
8%
4.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.75
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.46/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.20
+30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.1 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
10.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
27.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
22.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JPK
14.05.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.10.2010 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.36 xG 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
335 Passes 212
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse squeezed past Kyoto Sanga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kyoto Sanga at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 59% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 41%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.36 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.67 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 42%, draw 25%, Shimizu S-Pulse 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ BTTS Yes
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