Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.36/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.09
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
17.1 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 283
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
10.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
27.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
22.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JPK
14.05.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.09 xG 0.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
140 Passes 203
53% Pass Accuracy 60%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse and Kyoto Sanga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 44% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 56%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.09 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.00 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 33%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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