Kashima Antlers 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.57/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.32
-6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.5 Crosses 16.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.24 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 HT 3-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.06.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.37 xG 1.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
368 Passes 177
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 64% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 36%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.37 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yokohama F. Marinos.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 2.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 51%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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