FC Tokyo 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.31
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.9 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 425
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JPK
19.07.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-2 HT 1-2 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.61 xG 0.68
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
351 Passes 218
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo and Urawa Red Diamonds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 59% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 41%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.61 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

FC Tokyo 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 40%, draw 25%, Urawa Red Diamonds 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tokyo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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