FC Tokyo 3-2 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.73
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
13%
5.44
X/2
10%
5.76
X/X
13%
4.46
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.07
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.44/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.11
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.0 Crosses 17.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
18.02.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
3-2
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
2.18 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; FC Tokyo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 49% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 51%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.18 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

FC Tokyo 3-2 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 39%, draw 28%, Urawa Red Diamonds 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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